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2024-12-14 01:10:20

The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.CITIC Bank: Redemption of open-ended capital bonds. CITIC Bank announced that from December 9 to December 11, 2019, it issued RMB 40 billion of open-ended capital bonds (hereinafter referred to as "current bonds"), and on December 12, 2019, it issued the Announcement of China CITIC Bank Corporation on the Completion of Issuance of Open-ended Capital Bonds. According to the relevant provisions of the prospectus of this issue, this issue has the issuer's conditional redemption right, and the issuer has the right to redeem this issue in whole or in part on the interest payment date of the fifth year of this issue, that is, December 11, 2024. As of the date of this announcement, with the approval of the State Financial Supervision and Administration, the Bank has exercised the right of redemption and redeemed the bonds in full.Sina Navigation: The project won the bid of 145 million yuan. Sina Navigation announced that the company recently received the bid-winning notice of "2024 GNSS/MET water vapor observation station procurement project" with the bid-winning amount of 145 million yuan. If the formal contract is signed and implemented smoothly, it will have a positive impact on the company's operating performance. At present, the company and the tenderer have not signed a formal contract, and the total project amount and specific implementation contents shall be subject to the formal contract.


The price of gold is expected to break through the market. The key data of the United States are expected tonight, and the price of gold is basically flat on Wednesday. The market expects the key inflation data of the United States, which may affect the general expectation of interest rate cuts and provide more clues for the outlook in 2025. Rhona O‘Connell, an analyst at StoneX, said that the market is concerned about the upcoming inflation data and will pay attention to President Powell's post-meeting comments next week for further policy insights. O' Connell added that the price of gold was once stagnant but showing signs of recovery. The recent rebound was driven by geopolitical risks, and the price of gold reached the upper limit of the range, but did not break through the high point. Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst in Capital.com, said: "The expected data almost gives the Fed a green light to cut interest rates next week, which may be a gold price catalyst." Goldman Sachs said that the main downside risk of predicting that gold will be $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 is that the Fed will cut interest rates, not that the dollar will strengthen. Goldman Sachs predicts: "If the Fed cuts interest rates again, the price of gold will rise to $2,890 per ounce."Light Media: "Nezha's Devil's Boy Makes a Sea" has rich derivatives planning. Light Media said on the interactive platform that at present, the company's IP derivative business is advancing normally. "Nezha's Devil Kids Roaring the Sea" has been planned and will launch derivative products with rich categories and wide price range in due course, including tide play, handcrafted products, statues, cards, stationery, food play, badges, billboards, publications, plush products and daily necessities, which can meet the diverse needs of different groups of people.Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.


Since the release of "Keba Article", the refinancing of the first unprofitable enterprise in Shanghai Stock Exchange has been approved, and Dizhe Medicine announced that the company's private placement plan has been approved by Shanghai Stock Exchange. This is the first time that the refinancing of the unprofitable enterprise on the Shanghai Stock Exchange has been approved since the release of "Keba Article". (science and technology innovation board Daily)Market News: Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips. Apple chips may be ready for production in 2026.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.

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